Economic Growth: Brexit
Commons · Question 3178 · Tabled 20 May 2026 · Treasury · Official record
Answered 1 Jun 2026
Question
Asked by Sir Bernard Jenkin
To ask the Chancellor of the Exchequer, what assessment she has made of the impact of leaving the EU on the underlying growth rate of the UK economy; and what recent analysis her Department has undertaken on that issue.
Answer
Answered by Torsten Bell, 1 Jun 2026
The Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) is the government’s official forecaster. The OBR has included assessments of the economic impacts of leaving the EU in its forecasts since 2016. In March 2020 the OBR estimated that, as a result of the deal negot...